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they don't change elections. but if you look at the debates in 2004, 2000, where there was movement in the polls, often three or four points and this election is unusually close. the polling average shows about 3.5 lead for barack obama right now. so it could be that this would be the rare election where yu actually -- >> this is a rare election. >> where you have debates that matter. >> what it does is give mitt romney to really crystallize the contract. the debate moments, those moments are important because they codify. remember '94 people thought he's too old, he's not going to make it and the second one he came back and saying he's not going to use my opponent's youth and inexperience against him. everybody laughed. >> this is a big thing for romney, right? romney needs zingers maybe at his own expense, right? >> he's going to toss one at himself? >> he's going to humanize ims himself. and being receive dep ro kating is better than having some canned overrehearsed line about president boem. >> that can be ab
they don't change elections. but if you look at the debates in 2004, 2000, where there was movement in the polls, often three or four points and this election is unusually close. the polling average shows about 3.5 lead for barack obama right now. so it could be that this would be the rare election where yu actually -- >> this is a rare election. >> where you have debates that matter. >> what it does is give mitt romney to really crystallize the contract. the debate moments,...
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. >> re-election for knicnixon, 1. end to vietnam war and this was sort of the definitive statement. >> the most famous october surprise was in 1980 and the surprise was what did not happen. 52 u.s. hostages held in iran were not released before the election despite president carter's efforts. instead, they were freed as soon as ronald reagan was inaugurated, never proving that reagan emissaries back channelled with iran freeing the hostages. >> it fed into the whole dynamic of the 1980 race in a sense that carter was an ineffective president. >> to 1992. president bush was already on the ropes against bill clinton when casper wine berger, former president ronald reagan's defense secretary, was implicated in the iran contra scandal shortly before election day. bad news that bush did not need. in 2004, a classic october surprise. osama bin laden released a video of october 29th, four days before election day, in a razor thin race between bush and kerry. three years after 9/11, itted as a reminder of the e terrorist thre
. >> re-election for knicnixon, 1. end to vietnam war and this was sort of the definitive statement. >> the most famous october surprise was in 1980 and the surprise was what did not happen. 52 u.s. hostages held in iran were not released before the election despite president carter's efforts. instead, they were freed as soon as ronald reagan was inaugurated, never proving that reagan emissaries back channelled with iran freeing the hostages. >> it fed into the whole dynamic...
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with mitt romney win this election. i know you want the president to win, but can mitt romney win if he is tied with the president. who would do a better job with the economy? right now he is tied. in a debate, you're a good debater, what does mitt romney have to do to change that number? >> mitt romney has run a race so far saying i'm not barack obama. that's not enough. people like barack obama and i think there is about an 8% differential in likeability. he has a big problem in ohio. the auto bailout. in ohio, michigan, and some other rust belt states, those car manufacturing jobs are important. >> you want to talk about ohio, here is the map right now. 191, you don't have to be a rocket scientist. you mentioned ohio. that is one of the battleground states right now where the president has a lead in most polls outside of the margin of error. >> it's slipping away. >> let's hypothetically give it to the president. no republican has ever won. we have to go back to abraham lincoln, ke had win this election? >> i think f
with mitt romney win this election. i know you want the president to win, but can mitt romney win if he is tied with the president. who would do a better job with the economy? right now he is tied. in a debate, you're a good debater, what does mitt romney have to do to change that number? >> mitt romney has run a race so far saying i'm not barack obama. that's not enough. people like barack obama and i think there is about an 8% differential in likeability. he has a big problem in ohio....
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look, there's a month left in this election. the president has two debates to recover, other ways to recover, out campaigning watch and see in the next week does campaign ad spending and content change in the next weeks? but the democrats have the jitters that the republicans had last week. a long way to go but the big thing last night some democrats thought with the strong first debate performance the president could all but put this away. that didn't happen and we have quite a horse race. >> we certainly do. we'll see what the polls in the next few days show. i expect there will be a bounce for mitt romney. john, thanks very much. jack cafferty has his own take on last night's presidential debate. he's here with the cafferty file, jack. >> if president obama had been a broadway show last night, it would have closed after one performance. even the president's staunch supporters were baffled by president obama's lackluster effort. "what was he doing?" james carville," romney came in with a chain saw." and andrew sullivan, "he ch
look, there's a month left in this election. the president has two debates to recover, other ways to recover, out campaigning watch and see in the next week does campaign ad spending and content change in the next weeks? but the democrats have the jitters that the republicans had last week. a long way to go but the big thing last night some democrats thought with the strong first debate performance the president could all but put this away. that didn't happen and we have quite a horse race....
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fundraiser for president obama's re-election campaign. national geographic's president told "new york times" the network chose the november 4th debut date here to help promote its fall schedule. he says other than being commercially opportunistic, we weren't considering the election. end. there you have it. i'm brooke baldwin. hope you have a wonderful weekend. don't go anywhere. wolf blitzer is up next. "the situation room" starts now. >>> brooke, thanks very much. happening now, important and surprising numbers about jobs forcing both the president and mitt romney to re-write their pitch to voters. ge's former boss calls the jobs numbers unbelievable. wait until you hear the smackdown he gets from a one-time member of the obama white house. and mitt romney's complete aboutface. how he now calls his 47% remarks totally wrong. i'm wolf blitzer. you're in "the situation room." >>> we begin with president obama out there on the campaign trail making the most of today's unexpected and potentially, potentially game changing numbers about jobs
fundraiser for president obama's re-election campaign. national geographic's president told "new york times" the network chose the november 4th debut date here to help promote its fall schedule. he says other than being commercially opportunistic, we weren't considering the election. end. there you have it. i'm brooke baldwin. hope you have a wonderful weekend. don't go anywhere. wolf blitzer is up next. "the situation room" starts now. >>> brooke, thanks very much....